Thursday, July 12, 2007

A New South Wales Landslide

New South Wales has typically been Labor’s strongest state, but it is no more apparent than in the latest Newspoll, which puts the ALP’s Two-Party-Preferred poll for New South Wales at 61%. All other states are rated in the fifties, Victoria on 58 and Western Australia on 50.

With a TPP result like that in the election, the bounty from New South Wales would be enough to put Labor in power, even if all other states remained static. Howard, Turnbull, Abbott, Ruddock and Hockey would all lose their seats. The Liberal Party would be left with four seats, Sydney’s Northern Suburbs seats of McKellar (Bronwyn Bishop), Bradfield (Brendan Nelson) and Mitchell (Alex Hawke), as well as the Murray-Darling seat of Farrer (Sussan Ley).

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